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Research and News
AI Stocks Are Selling Off. I Added to Nebius Anyway.
NVIDIA is the top GARP candidate; Nebius was increased by 2 percentage points to a full position in the Vulcan model, CoreWeave stays on the watchlist due to financing risk Nebius Q2 revenue rose 454% YoY, 70% of deals had 50%-60% customer prepayments, stock fell ~25% in five sessions, valuation roughly 15x midpoint of 2026 revenue guidance CoreWeave bond yield on a June issue jumped from 9.675% to ~15%; Q2 revenue $2.58bn, backlog >$100bn, net interest $640m vs adjusted operating income $128m, cash capex $6.42bn Alphabet and Meta can fund heavy AI spend but cash is strained - GOOGL trades ~22.6x 2027 EPS and Q2 capex exceeded operating cash flow by $5.86bn; META Q2 revenue +28%, FCF $784m NVIDIA Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue +106% to $96.2bn, free cash flow $21.3bn, shares trade ~23x analysts' $9.31 FY estimate, FY2 EPS estimate rose to $15.91 supporting a GARP stance
Glenn Ford/
Tokenomics 5: 8% Recession Risk, The Truth About Inflation & Interest Rates, Stocks Up To 50% Undervalued, And AI Spending Up 214% (And the Charts To Prove All Of It! It’s A LOT More Interesting Than It Sounds, I Promise! 🤔😉😂)Adam Galas/
I Ranked SCHD's 98 Holdings for Dividend Growth and Total Return. The Biggest Ones Didn't Come Out on Top.Glenn Ford/
5 High-Yield Dividend Picks for Q4 2026Connor Graham/
The AI Agent Boom Has a Pricing ProblemGlenn Ford/Latest research
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America’s Industrial Rebound Is Stronger Than Its Factory RecoveryTony Nash/
Meet The Hidden Panic Indicator - The Fear Gauge The VIX Should Have BeenLeo Nelissen/
Uber: I'm Starting To Like What The Market Is DumpingLeo Nelissen/
The Supply Chain Fortress: How Japanese Industrial Consolidation Shapes Global GrowthTony Nash/
BTI Is My Largest Dividend Payer. I'm Testing Whether It Deserves That Weight.Glenn Ford/
AI Needs $6.3 Trillion - KKR Just Told Us Where The Money GoesLeo Nelissen/
The Structural Fracture in Global Semiconductor Supply: Why TSMC and Samsung Face a RecalibrationTony Nash/
I'd Buy Big Tech's Biggest LaggardLeo Nelissen/Daily Movers
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Learn about investing
- BetaA measure of how strongly a portfolio moves with the broader market, where 1 means in line, above 1 means more volatile, below 1 means more defensive.
- Binding ConstraintA constraint that limited your portfolio: it would have been different without this rule.
- Black-Litterman ModelA method that blends market-implied returns with your own opinions about which assets will do better
- Calmar RatioAnnual return divided by maximum drawdown, useful when peak-to-trough loss matters more than volatility.
- Conditional Drawdown-at-Risk (CDaR)The average of the worst drawdowns in a backtest, used to optimize against deep peak-to-trough losses.
- Conditional VaR (CVaR)The average loss in the worst tail beyond VaR. Captures how bad the bad days really are.
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